Yuhao Qian

Job Market Candidate in Macroeconomics

Department of Economics, LSE

Email: [email protected]

Job Market Paper

Capital Misallocation and Earning-based Borrowing

Abstract: This paper exploits the Enron–Arthur Andersen accounting scandal as the first natural experiment on earnings-based financial frictions to study how earnings-based borrowing shapes capital allocation and efficiency. Using the firm-level share of issued earnings-based borrowing, I show that a 10-percentage-point decline in a firm’s share of issued earnings-based borrowing increases its marginal revenue product of capital (MRPK) growth by 6.6 percentage points among high-MRPK firms, indicating greater misallocation when the share of issued earnings-based borrowing decreases. A simple model formalizes the mechanism: collateralizing productivity via earnings, earnings-based borrowing channels funds toward more productive firms and compresses MRPK dispersion. A quantitative heterogeneous-firm model shows that tightening the earnings-based borrowing constraint generates larger TFP losses than a comparable tightening on the asset-based borrowing constraint. Taken together, the evidence highlights earnings-based borrowing as a key credit margin that supports allocative efficiency and limits misallocation.

Draft Coming Soon

Working Papers

International Transmission of US Monetary Policy and Liquidity Constraints: Evidence from the Euro Area

Pre-PhD Work: Financial Agglomeration and Carbon Emissions: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Evidence from China , with Xuesong Gu

Best Thesis in BJFU

Teaching

EC2B3 Macroeconomics II, 2024-2025 Teaching Bonus Award

LSE, 2022-2023 & 2024-2026, Course Manager & Class Teacher

EC2B1: Macroeconomics II

LSE, 2023-2025, Class Teacher

EC210: Macroeconomic Principles, 2021-2022 Teaching Bonus Award

LSE, 2021-2023, Class Teacher

Replication Codes

Job Market Paper: Capital Misallocation and Earning-based Borrowing

Code coming soon